Monday, November 5, 2012

predicting baseball matches and elections

the telegraph says :

Nate Silver is partisan and wrong. The voters will decide Romney v Obama, not The New York Times

http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/timstanley/100186850/romney-obama-nate-silver-new-york-times/

the atlantic retorts:

People Who Can't Do Math Are So Mad At Nate Silver

http://www.theatlanticwire.com/politics/2012/10/people-who-cant-do-math-are-so-mad-nate-silver/58460/

even the nyt, who work with him, say:

Under Attack, Nate Silver Picks the Wrong Defense

http://publiceditor.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/01/under-attack-nate-silver-picks-the-wrong-defense/

fyi:
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/methodology/

someone else tries to explain..
http://markcoddington.com/2012/10/31/nate-silver-journalism-politics-knowledge-epistemology/

and if you read the comments in the last one, you'd run into:



http://election.princeton.edu/

and

Candidate Obama Romney
Expected Electoral Votes 304.2 233.8


http://electionanalytics.cs.illinois.edu/election12/index.html

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